Oh, wow, what a round. Duke...Gonzaga...West Virginia...Boston College...Washington...Georgetown...y'all played a heckuva game, and a call here or an inch there would have done it.
How big was the Duke lose? There is only one
person who can profit from the LSU/Texas match-up. In addition, only three players still have their final two in contention.
It's late enough that we can start mathematically eliminating players that cannot when the pool. Looking at the remaining picks and teams, only seven of the nineteen entrants can win. So, on with the show:1st -- Matt Evans (630).
Evans had the highest third round, correctly picking five of eight. Clearly in the drivers seat, it would take a big surprise team to unseat him. If Memphis loses, he'll be sitting really
pretty. In fact, if my math is correct, if Memphis, Nova, and LSU all lose, Evans will have the thing locked up. [Edit -- Well, almost.
]T-2nd -- Pris (590).
The key has been and still is LSU. If LSU loses, Pris loses. The longer LSU wins, the longer Pris wins. Simple as that.T-2nd -- E. Russell / E. Nielson (590).
Despite being tied for second and only forty points back, both Russell and Nielson are mathematically eliminated from winning. The best they can do is T-2nd, since they both have the same remaining picks.T-5th -- Kage (580).
A good run, but mathematically eliminated.T-5th -- Brett (580).
Get this: Brett can still win despite having only one team left. If
Memphis beats UCLA,, UConn loses to GM, LSU loses to Texas, Florida beats Nova, AND THEN
George Mason beats Florida, AND
Texas beats Memphis, Brett will win it all. Stranger things have happened.7th -- Mike (570).
The key is Memphis. If Memphis loses, Mike loses. The longer Memphis wins, the longer Mike wins. Simple as that.8th -- the D-Train (560).
To win, D-Train needs Nova to win it all and Memphis to lose to LSU/Texas.T-9th -- Marian / Mohr / M. Smith (530).
All have been mathematically eliminated.12th -- B. Atkinson (500).
To win, Bill needs Nova to win it all and Memphis to beat LSU/Texas.13th through 17th
Katie, Rusty, Chad Too, M. Elggren, JNS/RT...You have been eliminated.T-Last -- John C. (430).
Can still pull it off if and only if Florida beats Texas or UCLA in the finals. [Edit -- if UConn beats GM, then John C. and Evans would tie for first.
]T-Last - Kaimi (430).